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CNW Research · Equity Intelligence
Example · as of 2026-06-12
$NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

NASDAQ · Technology · Semiconductors

BUY
INITIATE STARTER / ADD ON PULLBACK
High conviction · 12mo
Price (eod)
$204.87 +2.2%
Base price target
$288
+40.6% upside
Prob-weighted target
$280.3
+36.8% weighted
Asymmetry / R-R
34/45
3.45:1 risk-reward
Market cap
$4.96T
Enterprise value
$4.89T
Ownership
4.07% · 69.19% · 1.23%
insider · institutional · short float
Balance sheet
Cash & investments $80.6B | Debt $12.8B | Net cash $40.4B
The thesis

System-level AI factory supplier; still earnings-revision driven, but valuation is sensitive to hyperscaler capex and gross-margin normalization.

What's inside
The research note

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Scenarios & kill criteria

Bull, base, bear, and tail price targets with probabilities, and the conditions that invalidate the thesis.

Investigative grades

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For educational and research purposes only. Not financial advice.